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  • Writer's pictureEllen Cheshire

Ellen's 2024 Oscar Predictions

Updated: Mar 12


Welcome, fellow film fans to the most eagerly anticipated awards show of the year—the Oscars! As we eagerly await the grand night when the stars dazzle brightest and cinema is honoured, it's time to indulge in some delightful predictions and share my personal favourites while shining a light on those that were unjustly overlooked. Join the conversation on X.



This year's Oscar race is shaping up to be one of the most exceptional in recent memory. With nine out of ten Best Picture nominees receiving four to five stars from me, it's evident that we're in for a treat. The lineup is diverse, featuring a range of genres and storytelling styles. From epic dramas like Oppenheimer and Killers of the Flower Moon to intimate character studies such as Anatomy of a Fall and American Fiction, there's something for everyone.


Yet, amidst the glitz and glamour of Hollywood's most dazzling night, it's crucial to reflect on the films and performances that may have slipped through the cracks. I can't help but feel that more LGBTQ+ narratives and films directed by women, particularly British women, deserved recognition. However, if the BAFTAs failed to acknowledge the brilliance of Carol Morley's latest work (Typist Artist Pirate King - pictured) and Raine Allen Miller's debut (Rye Lane), it's unlikely that the members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS), it's unsurprising that the Oscars didn’t rectify this.


As the red carpet is rolled out and the stars gather, let's raise a toast to the enchantment of cinema and the extraordinary talent that brings it to life. Here's to a night filled with glitz, glamour, and perhaps a few delightful surprises. Let the countdown to the Oscars commence!


Note: I’ve seen 25 of the 52 Oscar nominated films, I’ve indicated below which films I've not seen. You can read more on my letterboxd.

 

Updated: 12 March 2024. Predicted 16 out of 23.


Best Picture

Did Win: Oppenheimer

Will Win: Oppenheimer

My Fave: Anatomy of a Fall

Should’ve been nominated: All Of Us Strangers

 

Best actor in a leading role

Did Win: Cillian Murphy – Oppenheimer

Will Win: Cillian Murphy – Oppenheimer

My Fave: Jeffrey Wright – American Fiction

Should’ve been nominated: Andrew Scott - All Of Us Strangers

 

Best actor in a supporting role

Did Win: Robert Downey Jr – Oppenheimer

Will Win: Robert Downey Jr – Oppenheimer

My Fave: It’s a tie! Ryan Gosling – Barbie and Mark Ruffalo – Poor Things

Should’ve been nominated: Jamie Bell - All Of Us Strangers and Ben Whishaw – Passages

 

Best actress

Did Win: Emma Stone – Poor Things

Will Win: Emma Stone – Poor Things

My Fave: Sandra Hüller – Anatomy of a Fall

Should’ve been nominated: Julia Louis Dreyfus - You Hurt My Feelings and Monica Dolan - Typist Artist Pirate King

 

Best actress in a supporting role

Did Win: Da’Vine Joy Randolph – The Holdovers

Will Win: Da’Vine Joy Randolph – The Holdovers

My Fave: Da’Vine Joy Randolph – The Holdovers

Should’ve been nominated: Scarlett Johansson – Asteroid City

 

Best directing

Did Win: Oppenheimer – Christopher Nolan

Will Win: Oppenheimer – Christopher Nolan

My Fave: Anatomy of a Fall – Justine Triet

Should’ve been nominated:  All Of Us Strangers – Andrew Haigh

 

Best animated feature film

Did Win: The Boy and the Heron

Will Win: The Boy and the Heron

My Fave: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Note, not seen The Boy and the Heron and Robot Dreams

 

Best adapted screenplay

Did Win: American Fiction

Will Win: American Fiction

My Fave: Barbie

Should’ve been nominated:  All Of Us Strangers and Renfield

 

Best original screenplay

Did Win: Anatomy of a Fall Will Win: Past Lives

My Fave: Anatomy of a Fall

Should’ve been nominated:  Rye Lane

Note, not seen May December

 

Best cinematography

Did Win: Oppenheimer

Will Win: Oppenheimer

My Fave: Poor Things

Should’ve been nominated:  Barbie

 

Best costume design

Did Win: Poor Things

Will Win: Barbie

My Fave: Barbie

Should’ve been nominated:  Priscilla

 

Best documentary feature film

Did Win: 20 Days in Mariupol

Will Win: 20 Days in Mariupol

Should’ve been nominated:  Wham!

Note, not seen any of these!

 

Best documentary short film

Did Win: The Last Repair Shop Will Win: Nǎi Nai & Wài Pó

My Fave: The Last Repair Shop (as it’s the only one I’ve seen!)

 

Best film editing

Did Win: Oppenheimer

Will Win: Oppenheimer

My Fave: Oppenheimer

Should’ve been nominated:  All Of Us Strangers

 

Best international feature film

Did Win: The Zone of Interest

Will Win: The Zone of Interest

My Fave: The Zone of Interest

Should’ve been nominated:  Fallen Leaves

Note, not seen Io Capitano, Perfect Days and The Teachers’ Lounge

 

Best makeup and hairstyling

Did Win: Poor Things

Will Win: Maestro

My Fave: Poor Things

Should’ve been nominated:  Barbie

 

Best original score

Did Win: Oppenheimer

Will Win: Oppenheimer

My Fave: Oppenheimer

Should’ve been nominated:  Rye Lane

 

Best original song

Did Win: What Was I Made For? – Barbie

Will Win: What Was I Made For? – Barbie

My Fave: I’m Just Ken – Barbie

Should’ve been nominated: You've Never Had Chocolate Like This - Wonka

 

Best production design

Did Win: Poor Things

Will Win: Oppenheimer

My Fave: Barbie

Should’ve been nominated: Typist Artist Pirate King

Note, not seen Napoleon

 

Best animated short film

Did Win: War Is Over! Inspired by the Music of John and Yoko

Will Win: Letter to a Pig

Note, not seen any of these

 

Best live action short film

Did Win: The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar

Will Win: The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar

Should’ve been nominated: Strange Way of Life

Note, only seen Henry Sugar

 

Best sound

Did Win: The Zone of Interest

Will Win: The Zone of Interest

My Fave: The Zone of Interest

Should’ve been nominated: Asteroid City

Note, not seen The Creator and Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One

 

Best visual effects

Did Win: Godzilla Minus One

Will Win: Napoleon

Note, not seen The Creator, Godzilla Minus One and Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One

Should’ve been nominated: Wonka


Read my blog on 2023's Oscars. Will I do better this year?


You may have noticed, I loved All Of Us Strangers, watch the trailer.





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